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Continued from Part 1 on Sales Forecast, append below a suggested checklist of what factors and the sources might be considered when constructing the Production Forecast

 

Production Forecast

 

Factors:

  • Sales activity;
  • Availability of resources such as labor and materials;
  • Rate of inflation;
  • Influence of the market forces on resources;
  • Industrial relations;
  • Union agreements such as productivity, redundancy, union membership and industry agreements;
  • Finance or capital required;
  • Type of machine employed;
  • Availability of plant capacity;
  • Company and government policy on redundancy;
  • Location of plants overseas or locally;
  • Opportunity for sub-contracting;
  • Effect of overtime and shift working;
  • Nature and type of production;
  • Production methods used
  • Size of organization;
  • Quality of resources used;
  • Indirect costs relating to production, separated into fixed, variable and semi-variable coss;
  • Production service available such as transport, maintenance, repairs and servicing;
  • Type of product;
  • Inspection and
  • Normal loss allowance

 

Sources of Information:

  • Production manager, foreman, supervisor,etc
  • Past production capacity;
  • Economic indicators, manufacturer’s specification, documents on production scheduling and routing, dispatching, inspection reports and standards;
  • Work study; and
  • Sales forecast.

 

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